Cybertruck's future past 2026?

[roadrunner32]

I do believe when a lie is told over and over and over. People believe the lie, "well it must be true thats what I keep hearing". The number one lie is EVs are done for. Well that is not true globally and even here in America EV sales are good only softening a bit. Lie number two, for your consideration, I just asked AI what is the the price of luxury, full size, fully equipped pickup trucks not including warranty's and TT&L. All four (Ford, Chevy, Ram, and Toyota), came in around $80K to $90K. One of the lies is that cybertruck costs $100K. The luxury models of those trucks may have a more luxurious interior than the CT but only marginally. In those gas trucks you will have to go out of your way to get gas oil and transmission fluid changes. That was always a pain in the gass. Personally, I get far more joy out of telling it to go to this and that grocery, store pharmacy, Costco, home depot and it determines the route then drives itself stress free. I do believe cybertruck sales will hold.

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[SCTesla]

I do believe when a lie is told over and over and over. People believe the lie, "well it must be true thats what I keep hearing". The number one lie is EVs are done for. Well that is not true globally and even here in America EV sales are good only softening a bit. Lie number two, for your consideration, I just asked AI what is the the price of luxury, full size, fully equipped pickup trucks not including warranty's and TT&L. All four (Ford, Chevy, Ram, and Toyota), came in around $80K to $90K. One of the lies is that cybertruck costs $100K. The luxury models of those trucks may have a more luxurious interior than the CT but only marginally. In those gas trucks you will have to go out of your way to get gas oil and transmission fluid changes. That was always a pain in the gass. Personally, I get far more joy out of telling it to go to this and that grocery, store pharmacy, Costco, home depot and it determines the route then drives itself stress free. I do believe cybertruck sales will hold.

Yes. The highest trim ICE trucks and the CT are around the same price. And the demand is about 20-25k per year. Depending on estimates the CT sold under 4k in Q4 and that's with Elon buying potentially over 1,000 for his other companies.

CT may not get canceled, but it also is declining from an already small run rate.

 

[HaulingAss]

I do believe when a lie is told over and over and over. People believe the lie, "well it must be true thats what I keep hearing". The number one lie is EVs are done for. Well that is not true globally and even here in America EV sales are good only softening a bit. Lie number two, for your consideration, I just asked AI what is the the price of luxury, full size, fully equipped pickup trucks not including warranty's and TT&L. All four (Ford, Chevy, Ram, and Toyota), came in around $80K to $90K. One of the lies is that cybertruck costs $100K. The luxury models of those trucks may have a more luxurious interior than the CT but only marginally. In those gas trucks you will have to go out of your way to get gas oil and transmission fluid changes. That was always a pain in the gass. Personally, I get far more joy out of telling it to go to this and that grocery, store pharmacy, Costco, home depot and it determines the route then drives itself stress free. I do believe cybertruck sales will hold.

Agreed. I think Cybertruck sales will go far beyond holding the current numbers. I expect positive growth that is strong enough that people will take notice. Q4 2025 or Q1 2026 (current quarter) will be the bottom, steady growth from here. We are getting past the "early adopter" phase that many new truck buyers are reluctant to be a part of. You know, the old rule of thumb to "never buy the first (or second) model year of a brand-new platform. Sales will only build from here.

 

[mitch9]

I love my 2025 AWD CyberTruck, but I am not convinced they will keep manufacturing them, in low volume. They will perhaps re-design it, and re-release an improved version, maybe.

But, and here is the big one. When the Optimus is ready to be manufactured, they will absolutley consider all availble options, as they expect them to sell in the MILLIONS. They can repurpose the Cybertruck production line, or build a new facility... right now, they are gearing up to build RoboTaxis, they are being built in Austin.. which I assume still has space for another line, atm.

Tesla is a business, and they will make a business decision when the time comes. I will not be surprised if they admit defeat and repurpose the line for Optimus.

 

[YDR37]

Agreed. I think Cybertruck sales will go far beyond holding the current numbers. I expect positive growth that is strong enough that people will take notice. Q4 2025 or Q1 2026 (current quarter) will be the bottom, steady growth from here.

We'll watch and see, as with previous predictions. Like this one:

I don't think I'm going out on much of a limb to predict that Cybertruck sales in 2025 will 2X over 2024. Watch and see.

Was that supposed to be "2X" or "2÷" ? Possible typo there.

 

[Gaximus]

Tesla already paid for the factory, even at 15% production rate, they still make money off each truck, no need to shut it down.

 

[mitch9]

Tesla already paid for the factory, even at 15% production rate, they still make money off each truck, no need to shut it down.

in real estate, the concept of “Highest and best use” exists.

Meaning, within a short time, they will be manufacturing the Optimus robot. they intend to produce millions of them.. The space occupied by the low volume Cybertruck production line could be put to better use, or they will have to spend millions on putting up a new building… any availble space in Austin is very likely to be in use by the new Cybercab production line, starting in April.

 

[kpanda17]

in real estate, the concept of “Highest and best use” exists.

Meaning, within a short time, they will be manufacturing the Optimus robot. they intend to produce millions of them.. The space occupied by the low volume Cybertruck production line could be put to better use, or they will have to spend millions on putting up a new building… any availble space in Austin is very likely to be in use by the new Cybercab production line, starting in April.

saw this coming
Why I jumped kn
No regrets

 

[mcm4ss]

This truck is built so well I would not care if it was discontinued. I am positive there would be a way to get parts anyway but I don't see me being able to kill it. It is AMAZING.

 

[RM Rilke]

The CT is peak Elon tech dream. It isn’t central to the company, he loves it, it isn’t going anywhere. If Tesla takes a development path back to more private vehicle production (once the Robo has been built out) they may make another far more simple to produce truck..

The CT mostly needs more pull through V4 chargers and a flatter charging curve. The Semi charger buildout may help with this, and at the same time, flip the cultural script on electric trucks. Once the big boys of get’er done make the transition, diesel trucks will hopefully lose some cachet.

 

[bg002h]

New to the forum, just ordered a 2026 AWD. Although I've owned many Tesla's, I currently drive a Wrangler 392 Hemi that I'm trading in for the CT. My family is growing and I need more room.

I was quite taken aback on how smooth and quiet the CT is on a test drive. I also test drove the Lucid Gravity, but FSD v14.x really wowed me and my wife. We have long stints of kinda boring roads in rural Colorado, and it makes driving so much more relaxing.

I guess the thing that put us over the edge and pulling the trigger is looking at the sales numbers. We'd figure we'd get one just in case they stop producing them. Considering what; the factory is only at like 15% capacity, will the CT survive past 2026?

Don’t they both seat 5?

 

[HaulingAss]

Don’t they both seat 5?

I take it you've never been in a Wrangler with 5 people in it? Even 4 people feels cramped unless they are of small stature.

 

[kpanda17]

I take it you've never been in a Wrangler with 5 people in it? Even 4 people feels cramped unless they are of small stature.

Loved my wranglers
16 JKU and 04 LJ
Great trucks

 

[L3it3R]

There isn’t a vehicle on the American market I’d trade my CT in on.

 

[pae1andonly]

Another factor is that the CT provides economies of scope in that it uses the same steel as Starship. So we're helping out on that Mars mission thing. More so if you've got a Starlink mini installed.

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