Time will tell. I’ll tell you this much, I’m saving change till 2027 in case it’s true.
‘23? There’s no such animal. You mean a 2024 that they took delivery of in 2023?
You cannot pump gas in a power outage either. I’ve purchased Jerry can black market fuel several times in parts of the world (China’s Gobi desert, Rwanda, and Arequipa, Peru), where the power had been out for at least several days, standing in a perfectly good, but dark gas station.
Thats what I mean, there is all kinds of stretching the truth that has to happen to even come close to Doug’s numbers being realistic.
I don’t know man. It’s already the biggest depreciation I’ve ever suffered and that’s measured by percentage or dollar amount. Here’s what Chat (actually this one is Grok) thinks about his prediction:
I’m pretty sure the table that admin created has those numbers. If memory serves more than a few of our friends here got their trucks in November/December of ‘23.
Well…maybe it’s me that’s being unrealistic but my gut feel is no. Judging by the “I wish I could” reactions I get from people who look at the truck and the adjustments to Tesla’s planned production volume, I don't believe he’s right.Here’s what GROK has to say about the depreciation so far:
#1. Make sure you look at my update I included responses from other chat bots and ChatGPT largely agrees with you.
That’s right. Even though Tesla doesn’t really do model years the VIN codes are only ‘24, ‘25 and I’m seeing on Reddit that some people are now getting ‘26 VIN codes and among other things they’ve updated the accelerator and it doesn’t have the rivet anymore, but also doesn’t have any metal it’s all black plastic/rubber.
That was my point but I’ll go with any three-year old CT in 2027 will likely be in the $40k range. Current trade value for a ‘24 AWD is roughly $65 which feels a bit rich considering I paid under $73 after tax credit in March.
Wholeheartedly agree with every word.#1. Make sure you look at my update I included responses from other chat bots and ChatGPT largely agrees with you.
BEYOND THAT:
I think that what Elon did is gave a masters class on why you never ever ever shit on your core customers unless you are dead certain that there is a ready willing and enable cadre of people to replace them (guess what— there wasn’t)!
And absolutely I think there’s truth to you assertion that the rollout of the CT in particular the FS series shenanigans with putting celebrities ahead of those of us who were in line 1st and the shady expansion of the “limited” quantity of the FS trucks as an open cash grab not only was a bad look and bad business decision but left a bitter taste that still sits in my mouth today.
Is there a worse example in modern times? Yeah I think so the “Founder’s Edition” of the New Roadster was already an absurd premium even if it hadn’t developed into eight-year-old vaporware at this point.
Taking a 10 year interest free loan from the few handful of people who are able and willing to spend $300,000 on your brand and giving them nothing in return is unspeakably stupid.
As I’ve said before both UP and Tesla have taught me lesson lessons that this year that I will never forget.
1. [Tesla] If it doesn’t do everything that I want to do on the day of purchase, NO SALE. No future firmware updates, range extenders or anything else will ever be considered again. Never did it before don’t know why I fell for it at this time One and done.
2. [UP] I don’t pre-order car parts/accessories. I’ll buy it when and if you have it ready to sell. Not before. Not ever again.
Fool me once shame on me.
That’s an interesting move. Then again the NFS AWD removed the SS from the center floor storage area. Wonder if future Beasts will still have the SS on the pedals? That’s always a thing in the plaids and performance models.